INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATIONS FOR THE RESILIENT AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION SYSTEM IN SOUTH PUNJAB, PAKISTAN

Abstract

Agricultural production systems are multidimensional, interlinked, complex and diverse, and need special attention to cope with changing climate, technology and changes in input and output market structure. Climate change is an evident phenomenon that drastically affects the agricultural production system. The developing countries mainly rely on farming activities for the needs of food and Fiber. This study aims to find climate change impacts and economic analysis of proposed adaptations and to formulate a climate-resilient agricultural production system. The primary and secondary data were collected by conducting a well-designed South Punjab survey. The secondary data about historical crop yields, socioeconomic profiles, climate data, and crop simulation results are incorporated into the model. The TOA-MD (Tradeoff analysis multidimensional impact assessment) model was used for the economic analysis. The results showed substantial negative impacts of climate change on farm income. The adaptations regarding climatic variations are present and increase the net farm returns adopted by farming communities, which are projected in public policies. The financial inclusion of the farming community is needed in terms of farm insurance and finance.